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Bitcoin Price Prediction: Expert Forecasts a Dip Below $94,000

Bitcoin’s recent surge to $105,000 has failed to quell concerns about its price momentum. While showing a minor 0.03% gain in the last 24 hours, it remains 3.5% below its peak a week ago. Crypto analyst Captain Faibik suggests this stagnation could signal traders buying at the top of the market.

Bearish RSI Divergence Hints at Weakness

Data reveals a bearish RSI divergence. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has declined from near 80, even as Bitcoin’s price reached new highs. The current RSI of 61.88 indicates waning buyer enthusiasm. This classic price-RSI mismatch often precedes a price correction, though not always a crash.

Analyst Predicts Correction

Captain Faibik believes Bitcoin has reached its ceiling, anticipating a pullback to the $92,000–$94,000 range. This potential correction may trigger rapid market shifts, urging traders to review their strategies. He highlights a significant bearish RSI divergence on the weekly chart, supporting his prediction.

Bitcoin RSI Chart

Resistance Levels and Market Activity

Resistance levels around $108,000 and $109,000 (established May 19) and an ascending trendline from December 2024 have capped Bitcoin’s gains. The combination of these resistance levels and RSI divergence is a strong indicator of an impending price drop, according to Faibik.

Further analysis of the derivatives market shows increasing trading volume (1.60% rise to $100 billion) but a decrease in open interest (1.30% drop to nearly $70 billion), indicating some traders are closing positions. Recent liquidations of $71 million in long positions may exacerbate further sell-offs.

Past Performance vs. Present Conditions

Bitcoin’s 2022 rebound differed significantly. It rallied from lows near $16,000 with RSI climbing from oversold levels. The current situation, however, features higher interest rates and increased institutional involvement, altering Bitcoin’s response to market signals. Past success isn’t a guarantee of future performance, Faibik cautions.