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Ackman Predicts Trump Tariff Delay: A Recessionary Risk?

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Billionaire investor Bill Ackman, known for his crypto-friendly stance, believes President Trump may postpone the implementation of his newly signed tariffs. Ackman, founder of Pershing Square Capital Management, shared this prediction via an April 5th X post, stating, \”One would have to imagine that President Donald Trump’s phone has been ringing off the hook. The practical reality is that there is insufficient time for him to make deals before the tariffs are scheduled to take effect.\”

Trump’s Tariff Gambit: A Calculated Delay?

Ackman’s prediction stems from the logistical challenges of finalizing trade deals before the April 7th deadline. He suggests a postponement is likely, stating, \”I would, therefore, not be surprised to wake up Monday with an announcement from the President that he was postponing the implementation of the tariffs to give him time to make deals.\”

Trump’s executive order, signed on April 2nd, introduced reciprocal tariffs and a 10% baseline tariff on all imports. While these initial tariffs took effect on April 5th, steeper tariffs targeting countries with significant trade deficits are slated for April 9th. The market reacted swiftly, with the US stock market experiencing a significant drop on April 4th.

Ackman’s insight is noteworthy given his previous pronouncements on crypto, including his statement that \”crypto is here to stay\” following the FTX collapse. He views Trump’s tariff strategy as a response to what he terms an \”unfair tariff regime\” that has harmed US workers and the economy. Interestingly, the crypto market’s resilience in the face of the stock market decline has garnered attention from both crypto proponents and critics.

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Source: Cameron Winklevoss

Support for Trump’s tariffs has been voiced by prominent figures within the crypto space, including Arthur Hayes of BitMEX and Cameron Winklevoss of Gemini. However, Ackman highlights the significant economic uncertainty surrounding the tariffs and warns of potential recessionary consequences if a delay isn’t implemented, allowing businesses time to adjust. He concludes that April 7th will be a pivotal day in US economic history.

Related: Trump tariffs squeeze already struggling Bitcoin miners — Braiins exec