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Bitcoin Price Prediction: Why BTC Struggles to Break $105,000

Bitcoin (BTC) has recently consolidated around the $105,000 mark, failing to achieve new all-time highs. This analysis explores the factors contributing to this price stagnation and delves into the perspectives of prominent market analysts.

  • Resistance at $105,000: The $105,000 price level serves as a significant resistance point, hindering Bitcoin’s upward momentum.
  • Bearish Sentiment: While some traders exhibit bearish sentiment, historical data suggests the possibility of a sudden bullish reversal.
Bitcoin Price Chart

BTC/USD Weekly Chart (TradingView)

Bitcoin’s Struggle Above $105,000

Bitcoin’s price has oscillated between $101,500 (support) and $105,000 (resistance) for the past week. Swissblock, an on-chain data provider, notes Bitcoin’s consolidation following failed attempts to surpass $105,000. The firm anticipates a possible resolution after the weekend, or possibly a Friday breakout.

Bitcoin Chart
BTC/USD Chart (Swissblock)

Santiment, a market intelligence firm, reports increased trader fear, which historically correlates to higher crypto prices. Retail trader impatience is also identified as a potential bullish indicator.

Bitcoin Social Volume
Bitcoin Social Volume (Santiment)

Lack of Catalyst and Key Support Levels

Bitcoin has maintained $100,000 as support, reaching 14-week highs of $105,700 on May 12. However, Material Indicators points to large-volume trading entities manipulating order books as a limiting factor. They suggest significant ask liquidity between $105,000 and $110,000, inhibiting a major price increase.

Material Indicators highlight $98,000-$100,000 as a key support level to watch, while warning of potential short squeezes and bull traps.

BTC/USDT Order Book
BTC/USDT Order Book Liquidity Data (Material Indicators)

Daan Crypto Trades emphasizes the significance of the $93,000 starting point for the recent price increase. The trader anticipates potential resistance above $106,000 and support down to $93,000.

BTC/USDT Liquidation Heatmap
BTC/USDT Liquidation Heatmap (Daan Crypto Trades)

Material Indicators also note the bullish cross of the 50-day and 100-day simple moving averages, suggesting upward momentum. Michael van de Poppe considers $98,000 crucial for sustained growth.

Bitcoin Price Chart
Bitcoin Price Chart (Michael van de Poppe)

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.