Bitcoin’s 2025 Trajectory: A Pivotal Week for BTC Price
Bitcoin (BTC) has staged a recovery after dipping below $100,000, now attempting to solidify support above $108,000 for the fourth time. As the second half of 2025 approaches, a prominent market analyst, Rekt Capital, offers his BTC forecast.
A Cycle of Re-accumulation
Rekt Capital describes this Bitcoin cycle as characterized by multiple re-accumulation ranges. Since late 2022, these ranges have shaped the market, evolving significantly since last year’s Bitcoin halving. Pre-halving, BTC saw short price deviations below weekly chart lows. Post-halving, these deviations have involved multiple weeks of price action below range lows.
The analyst highlights a notable pattern: After the initial seven-week price discovery uptrend, BTC spent approximately ten weeks within a re-accumulation range. A subsequent nine-week downward correction followed, before another rally to new all-time highs. This history implied readiness for a second price discovery uptrend, yet Rekt Capital identifies a crucial divergence.
A Transitional Phase
A new element has emerged: a prolonged consolidation period near the re-accumulation range high. This represents a significant departure from previous cycles. Rekt Capital points out that deviations below the range high are unprecedented in this cycle. This makes the current price range critical for transitioning into a new uptrend.
Weekly Close: A Decisive Moment
The analyst underlines the importance of this week’s close. Reclaiming the $104,400 support level – held for seven weeks before the recent pullback – is paramount. A decisive close above this level is essential to confirm it as support, setting the stage for a renewed rally and the potential launch of the next price discovery uptrend.
The Road Ahead
The timeline for the next uptrend remains uncertain, depending on the duration of this transitional phase. While Rekt Capital anticipates a more extended breakout than before, the length of the following uptrend influences the overall cycle duration. A protracted uptrend could significantly influence the market’s peak, potentially extending into later stages of 2025.
The analyst stresses the importance of a relatively short corrective period (25-33% drop) to allow for a third price discovery uptrend before the bear market sets in.
At the time of writing, BTC trades at $107,555, showing a 3.2% weekly increase. The coming week’s price action will be highly influential in determining the direction of Bitcoin in the months ahead.
Disclaimer: This article is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice.