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Dogecoin Correction: How Low Could It Go Before Rallying Again?

Dogecoin’s Recent Rally and Potential Correction

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Dogecoin (DOGE) recently experienced a remarkable surge, soaring nearly 200% within eight days, reaching a peak of $0.4385 on Tuesday. This explosive growth pushed the daily Relative Strength Index (RSI) to an overbought level of 93. Since then, the Dogecoin price has pulled back by 19%, trading around $0.37 at the time of writing.

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However, renowned crypto analyst Kevin (@Kev_Capital_TA) believes the correction might not be over yet. In a series of updates on X, he shared his insights on how low Dogecoin could go before resuming its upward trajectory.

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Kevin’s Analysis and Price Targets

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According to Kevin, a correction to the $0.30-$0.26 range, representing a 30-40% drop from the recent peak, would be a healthy adjustment in a bull market. This zone aligns with the golden pocket retracement levels.

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Kevin emphasizes the importance of RSI levels in predicting market movements. He suggests a consolidation period to cool off indicators would be beneficial for Dogecoin, referencing similar occurrences during the 2020-2021 bull run.

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Based on the current technical data, Kevin believes a correction is likely to occur soon. He points out that Dogecoin hit the 90+ level on the daily RSI three times during the 2020-2021 bull market, each time marking a local top or consolidation phase before a further rally.

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Symmetrical Triangle and Price Targets

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Looking at lower time frames, Dogecoin has formed a symmetrical triangle, a pattern often associated with consolidation before significant price movements. While this pattern could indicate either a continuation or reversal, Kevin leans towards a correction due to the overbought RSI levels.

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By measuring the height of the triangle’s base, traders can estimate the potential magnitude of the price drop. Applying this method to Dogecoin suggests a correction towards the $0.28 level, aligning with Kevin’s analysis targeting the $0.30-$0.26 range.

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Conclusion: Healthy Correction or Further Downward Movement?

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While Dogecoin has already retraced about 19% from its peak, the daily RSI is still in overbought territory at 80, leaving room for a potential continuation of the correction. A move below the $0.35 support level could signal further downward momentum.

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Kevin reiterates his belief that a healthy consolidation would be beneficial for Dogecoin. He concludes that a 1-3 week correction would allow indicators to cool off, paving the way for a potential rebound.