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XRP Price Surge: Whale Activity Signals Potential Breakout?

Key takeaways:

  • XRP price shows bullish signals after a 55% rise since April.
  • Positive whale flow reversal, unseen since November 2024, suggests a potential trend shift.
  • Falling wedge breakout hints at a 40% price increase, though $2.80 could pose resistance.

XRP (XRP) has experienced a significant rebound, climbing over 55% since its April low near $1.61. This upward trend, coupled with promising technical patterns and on-chain data, suggests a possible continuation of this rally.

XRP/USD daily price chart
XRP/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

XRP Whale Flows and Price Correlation

Data from CryptoQuant reveals a notable shift in XRP whale wallet activity. Since November 2024, these large holders have been reducing their XRP holdings. This pattern contributed to XRP’s price correction from over $3.55 to below $2.00. However, a recent change has emerged.

XRP whale flow 30-day moving average vs. price
XRP whale flow 30-day moving average vs. price. Source: CryptoQuant

As of mid-May 2025, the 90-day moving average of net whale flows has turned positive, a significant reversal. Historically, this shift has often coincided with market bottoms and trend reversals. The substantial XRP rally from $0.43 in July 2024 to $3.55 in January 2025 (approximately 400%) provides a compelling example of this correlation.

Technical Analysis: Potential for Further Gains

XRP’s technical indicators support the bullish outlook. A breakout from a multi-month falling wedge pattern on the 3-day chart signals a potential bullish reversal. This wedge, observed from December 2024 to early May 2025, showed decreasing volume during price compression, characteristic of accumulation.

XRP/USD three-day price chart
XRP/USD three-day price chart. Source: TradingView

The recent breakout near $2.25, above the 50-period EMA (now acting as support), projects a price target near $3.45 based on the wedge’s height, representing a potential 40% increase from current levels. The RSI also confirms this bullish momentum, exceeding 57.

While promising, potential resistance around $2.80 might temporarily hinder the price surge. Further consolidation above the 50-day EMA is likely, particularly given the accumulation phase often associated with whale inflows.

Disclaimer: This article does not offer investment advice. Conduct thorough research before any investment decision.